Born Again Boarder
Join Date: Aug 2007
Location: Spicewood, Texas (in the boonies)
Extracted from an article on LinkedIn, "Must read article on how our lives will change dramatically in 20 years by CEO of Mercedes." David Delahunty/Designer, Published on July 16, 2017. One man's opinion.
"- Autonomous cars: In 2018 the first self driving cars will appear for the public. Around 2020, the complete industry will start to be disrupted. You don't want to own a car anymore. You will call a car with your phone, it will show up at your location and drive you to your destination. You will not need to park it, you only pay for the driven distance and can be productive while driving. Our kids will never get a driver's licence and will never own a car.
- It will change the cities, because we will need 90-95% less cars for that. We can transform former parking spaces into parks. 1.2 million people die each year in car accidents worldwide. We now have one accident every 60,000 miles (100,000 km), with autonomous driving that will drop to one accident in 6 million miles (10 million km). That will save a million lives each year.
- Most car companies will probably become bankrupt. Traditional car companies try the evolutionary approach and just build a better car, while tech companies (Tesla, Apple, Google) will do the revolutionary approach and build a computer on wheels.
- Many engineers from Volkswagen and Audi; are completely terrified of Tesla.
- Insurance companies will have massive trouble because without accidents, the insurance will become 100x cheaper. Their car insurance business model will disappear.
- Real estate will change. Because if you can work while you commute, people will move further away to live in a more beautiful neighborhood.
- Electric cars will become mainstream about 2020. Cities will be less noisy because all new cars will run on electricity.
- Electricity will become incredibly cheap and clean: Solar production has been on an exponential curve for 30 years, but you can now see the burgeoning impact."
The question is, where do our vintage cars fit in the landscape here?? Trailered to and run on vintage car circuits and vintage car nostalgia drive parks (a new niche), if at all??
Personally I am still doubtful that this will work well for service personnel with tools, equipment and materials, larger delivery vehicles (think semis, dump trucks and cement trucks) and in the countryside, and there is a lot of countryside here. What for boat and trailer haulers. Farm equipment? What for recreational boating? RV's?? Electric and self-driving? Where is the recreation element?? Clearly better city use. Try and get an Uber in Llano or Kingsland now.
Last edited by Anfanuts; 07-26-2017 at 07:21 AM.