Born Again Boarder
Join Date: Aug 2007
Location: Spicewood, Texas (in the boonies)
I am not so sanguine about this and think this so-called "progress" will happen more quickly than we can imagine. It will led by "progressive" cities. Perhaps even in a step-wise fashion.
There is a broad nexus of trends in demographics, technology and socio-politically that will kill by a thousand paper cuts, some large and many small. All mentioned above and others vectors as well not yet mentioned (sporting cars are for rich white guys and inherently misogynist and culturally oppressive; muscle cars and rods even moreso, an icon of a bad past, as pushed by a SJW).
IMO the biggest is demographics - the oldest Boomers at 71. That includes a lot of the mechanics and know-how. Thay have made cars so complicated that the younger crowd views cars as appliances and not as your treasured friend to fettle, console and fondle in the wee hours. Few are heartily fettling their cars - they add wraps and carbon fiber trim pieces and a chips and a tuned exhaust. - bolt on. The law prohibits otherwise and even some of that. Some 30 years ago, antiques were still popular and I collected antique clocks as a representation of "form and function". Like an old car. No one wants them any more. The price has plunged. An antique shop may take 1 or 2 on consignment with a sigh. There is a glut on e-Bay (sounds like BAT now). Virtually no one wants antique furniture, remember quarter-sawn oak that was prized? Can't give it away to younguns even painted white for a temporary baby's room. Toggle switches and round gauges - so like grandfather had. This yawning apathy will allow the creep of socio-political control like famous California. What happens as they continue to tighten the noose on "oldtimers" there - the tulip market could collapse nationally, a sea change. It is edging closer.
While this indeed will be easier to "control" in cities due to an "imperative" and passive acceptance (like ethanol), the vast majority of flyover country is the fly in the ointment. None of the proscriptive fixes work well there - car to go, Uber, light rail, self-driving cars. They also do not work for construction and service personnel who carry parts and tools. We got a taste of this visiting Zermatt, Sienna, Lucca, Modena, etc. on a recent trip, where the village/town was buzzing with all kinds of large fossil fueled and small electric taxis and service vehicles and scooters, but private car usage was very limited in what they call ZTL's - Zone Traffic Limited. They are talking about converting downtown Austin streets to pedestrian areas now. This dichotomy will further pit working red against elitist and poor blue.
Like I said I am not personally losing any sleep over this and I do drive the hell out of my cars. The value is in their use. Don't take shots at this, come up with your view, it's all speculation. This is just a possible scenario and others are all just possible outcomes.
Last edited by Anfanuts; 07-07-2017 at 06:40 AM.